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Working papers, preprints and reports. Each one links to the full text.

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Papers & reports

Preprint
January 2026 · SSRN
Isaac Lemayian

AI gains in knowledge work are real but conditional. AI does not replace knowledge management; it depends on it.

Knowledge workers now have access to artificial intelligence tools that can draft, summarise, search, analyse and even write code. Whether these tools actually make knowledge work more productive is one of the defining questions of the current decade. This paper reviews the evidence on AI and knowledge worker productivity and argues that the tools are real but the gains are conditional. Randomised experiments and field studies show substantial average productivity gains, from about 14 per cent for customer support agents to roughly 40 per cent time savings on professional writing tasks, yet the same studies reveal striking variation between people, tasks and skill levels. Survey data show that adoption is widespread but that few organisations have captured bottom-line value, and the risks, from hallucination and overtrust to deskilling and weak data foundations, are as documented as the benefits. The paper argues that AI does not replace knowledge management; it depends on it. Lasting productivity gains come when capable tools meet well-managed knowledge, clean data, redesigned workflows and people who are trained, trusted and supported. The paper reviews the modern landscape of AI tools for knowledge work, synthesises the experimental and survey evidence, examines failure modes, and proposes a practical framework for measuring knowledge worker productivity and for introducing AI in ways that produce gains that last.

Group report
June 2026 · Master in Management of SDGs
Ellah Ochieng Okeyo, Ali Raza, Rebecca Bala, Isaac Lemayian, Stella Ndinda

Strong SDG rankings, slowing progress. Lasting change needs climate ambition and social fairness together.

Group project, 2025/2026.

In progress

Coming up next

01
Writing in progress

SDG Financing in Kenya: Budgets versus Commitments

What Kenya promised for the SDGs versus what budgets actually fund.

02
Writing in progress

The Fibonacci Sequence and God

Patterns in nature, and the questions they raise about order and faith.

Research interests

Questions I’m exploring

Hover a question to see why it matters.

How do national SDG commitments become county budgets and services?

01 · SDG implementation

SDG 16 · Strong institutions

From global goals to devolved government in Kenya.

What makes lessons from development projects get reused?

02 · Knowledge management

SDG 17 · Partnerships

Why some organisations learn and others repeat mistakes.

How can knowledge connect environmental and human health?

03 · Nature & health

SDG 3 · Good health

The One Health approach, made easier to use.

Where does AI help development work, and where does it erode it?

04 · Responsible technology

SDG 9 · Innovation

Tools that strengthen, not replace, learning.

How can evidence be shared so people act on it?

05 · Communication

SDG 4 · Quality education

From plain-language briefs to better websites.

What happens to the SDGs when debt crowds out investment?

06 · Development finance

SDG 17 · Partnerships

Record debt costs and what is left for 2030.

Collaborate

Working on a related question?

I am glad to compare notes, review drafts or talk through ideas.